Every metric in CasaWise.ai is derived from industry-standard formulas used by lenders, appraisers, and professional investors. This document explains exactly how each number is calculated, what assumptions are made, and how the three-scenario engine models risk.
The foundation of every analysis — mortgage payments and amortization schedules calculated to the penny.
Payment = P x r x (1 + r)^n / ((1 + r)^n - 1) Where: P = Loan principal (purchase price x loan-to-value %) r = Monthly interest rate (annual rate / 12 / 100) n = Total payments (loan term in years x 12)
This is the standard amortization formula used by every mortgage lender. For a 0% interest rate, the payment is simply the principal divided by the number of months. If the principal or term is zero, the payment is $0 (all-cash purchase).
For each month (1 through n): Interest = Remaining Balance x Monthly Rate Principal = Monthly Payment - Interest Balance = Previous Balance - Principal (min $0)
The schedule tracks every payment split between principal and interest for the full loan term. The minimum $0 balance guard prevents floating-point rounding errors from producing a negative balance in the final months.
Cash Invested = Down Payment + Rehab Cost + Closing Costs + Loan Points Where: Down Payment = Purchase Price - Loan Amount Closing Costs = Purchase Price x Closing Cost % Loan Points = Loan Amount x Points %
This is your total out-of-pocket cost to acquire the property — the denominator for Cash-on-Cash Return and Flip ROI.
Eight metrics that professional investors use to evaluate every deal. CasaWise computes all eight simultaneously.
NOI = Effective Gross Rent - Total Operating Expenses Effective Gross Rent = Monthly Rent x 12 x (1 - Vacancy Rate %) Total Expenses = Fixed Costs + Revenue-Based Costs + CapEx Reserve Fixed Costs = (Property Tax + Insurance + HOA x 12) x Expense Modifier Revenue Costs = Gross Rent x (Maintenance % + Management %) x Expense Modifier CapEx Reserve = Gross Rent x CapEx % x CapEx Modifier
NOI is the income your property generates before debt service. Fixed costs (tax, insurance, HOA) and revenue-based costs (maintenance, management) are adjusted by the scenario's Expense Modifier. The CapEx reserve uses its own separate CapEx Modifier — because in a worst case, big-ticket repairs tend to cost significantly more than everyday operating expenses.
Annual Cash Flow = NOI - Annual Debt Service Monthly Cash Flow = Annual Cash Flow / 12 Annual Debt Service = Monthly Mortgage Payment x 12 Cap Rate = (NOI / Purchase Price) x 100 Cash-on-Cash Return = (Annual Cash Flow / Total Cash Invested) x 100 DSCR = NOI / Annual Debt Service (all-cash -> 99.9) GRM = Purchase Price / Annual Gross Rent Rent Ratio = (Monthly Rent / Purchase Price) x 100
Cash flow is what you actually keep after paying the mortgage — the single most important number for buy-and-hold investors. Positive cash flow means the property pays for itself and puts money in your pocket.
Cap rate measures return independent of financing: what the property earns as a percentage of its value, regardless of how you financed it. Higher cap rates generally indicate higher returns but often come with higher risk. A 6-8% cap rate is considered strong in most markets.
Cash-on-cash measures the actual return on your invested capital and, unlike cap rate, accounts for leverage. A deal with 20% down and a strong cash-on-cash return means your money is working harder than it would in stocks or bonds. Professional investors typically target 8-12%+.
DSCR tells lenders — and you — whether the property generates enough income to cover its mortgage. A DSCR of 1.0 is break-even and most lenders require 1.20+. Below 1.0 the property loses money before any maintenance surprise, which is a critical warning sign.
GRM is a quick-screening metric — how many years of gross rent it takes to recoup the purchase price. Lower is better. It ignores expenses entirely, so treat it as a rough filter rather than a decision metric; under 12 generally signals a deal worth deeper analysis.
Rent ratio is the modern reading of the classic "1% rule" — the most widely used quick filter in real estate investing, and largely out of reach at today's prices. Rather than pass/fail it, the Deal Score grades it on a curve where ~0.65% is par and approaching 1% is excellent.
Annual Depreciation = (Purchase Price x 80% + Rehab Cost) / Depreciation Years Year 1 Tax Savings = (Annual Depreciation + Year 1 Interest) x Tax Bracket % Projection years use the ACTUAL interest from the amortization schedule.
The IRS allows you to depreciate the building portion of your investment (typically 80% of purchase price — land is not depreciable). Rehab costs are 100% depreciable as improvements. Combined with mortgage-interest deductions this can significantly reduce your tax liability, and the projection uses your actual amortization interest each year rather than a flat estimate.
Every property is analyzed simultaneously under three scenarios. When market data is available for your location, the Base Estimate uses real local appreciation and rent growth rates.
| Factor | Worst Case | Base Estimate | Best Case |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vacancy | x1.8 | x1.0 | x0.5 |
| Expenses | x1.2 | x1.0 | x0.85 |
| Appreciation | Market - 4% | Market rate | Market + 2.5% |
| Rent Growth | Market - 2% | Market rate | Market + 1.5% |
| CapEx | x1.4 | x1.0 | x0.7 |
How Market Data Flows In
When CasaWise retrieves market intelligence for a location, it extracts the local 5-year appreciation rate and 1-year rent growth rate; these become the Base Estimate. With no market data, conservative defaults apply:
For each year (1 through projection horizon):
Property Value = Previous Value x (1 + Appreciation Rate)
Monthly Rent = Previous Rent x (1 + Rent Growth Rate)
Year 1: rent stays at input value (lease locked)
Year 2+: rent grows annually
Expenses (inflated each year):
Property Tax -> 2% per year
Insurance -> 3% per year
HOA -> 3% per year
Maintenance / Management / CapEx -> track with current rent
Equity = Property Value - Loan Balance (from amortization)
Annual Return = Cumulative Cash Flow + Appreciation + Cumulative Tax SavingsYear 1 rent is locked — reflecting the reality that your first tenant signs at the listed rate. Expenses inflate independently; revenue-based costs scale with growing rent.
Future Capital Expenditures
You can schedule up to 2 future capital expenditure events (e.g. new roof in year 5, HVAC in year 8). These are deducted in the specified year, affecting cumulative returns and IRR.
Cash Flow Series: Year 0: -Total Cash Invested (initial outlay) Year 1..N: Annual Cash Flow + Annual Tax Savings Final Year: + Net Sale Proceeds Net Sale Proceeds = Property Value x (1 - Selling Cost %) - Remaining Loan Balance Selling Cost % defaults to 6% (standard agent + closing costs) Find the rate r where: NPV = SUM[ CF(t) / (1 + r)^t ] = 0 (t = 0..N) No closed-form solution exists - it is solved iteratively via Newton-Raphson: r(next) = r(current) - NPV(r) / NPV'(r) repeated up to 100 iterations until NPV < $1.
This is the same approach used by Excel's IRR function and HP financial calculators. Results outside the -100% to +500% range are flagged unreliable and not displayed; if the solver fails to converge, CasaWise reports "N/A" rather than a misleading number.
Buy & Hold is the default strategy and runs on every tier. The two strategies below are selected on the Deal Inputs tab and are part of the Ultimate AI Investors tier — as is the 70% Rule check, which only evaluates a fix-and-flip deal.
Flip Profit = ARV - Purchase Price - Rehab Cost
- Selling Costs - Holding Costs
- Loan Points - Closing Costs
Selling Costs = ARV x Selling Cost %
Holding Costs = (Monthly Mortgage + Prorated Tax + Prorated Insurance) x Hold Months
Flip ROI = (Flip Profit / Cash Invested) x 100
ARV = After Repair Value (or Purchase Price + Rehab if not specified)Refinance Loan Amount = ARV x Refinance LTV % Cash Recouped = Refinance Loan Amount - Original Loan Amount New Monthly Payment = PMT(Refinance Loan, Refinance Rate, 30 years)
The 70% Rule (Deal Insights)
Deal Insights evaluates flip deals against the industry-standard 70% Rule: your purchase price should be at or below 70% of the ARV minus rehab costs.
The Deal Score grades five metrics on their own 0-100 curves and takes a weighted average. Each curve is piecewise-linear between three anchors — a floor (scores 0), a midpoint (scores 50) and a ceiling (scores 100) — and flat outside them. Anchors are calibrated to roughly a 7% rate environment, not to pre-2022 "cheap money" rules of thumb: our projections already deduct vacancy and CapEx reserves from income before scoring, so aspirational thresholds would penalize the same deal twice. If the IRR cannot be computed, its weight is redistributed across the other four components.
| Metric | Weight | Floor (0) | Midpoint (50) | Ceiling (100) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRR | 40% | 0% | 9% | 18% |
| Cash-on-Cash | 25% | -5% | 2% | 6% |
| DSCR | 20% | 0.95 | 1.15 | 1.40 |
| Cap Rate | 10% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% |
| Rent Ratio | 5% | 0.40% | 0.65% | 0.95% |
| Score | Band |
|---|---|
| 80-100 | Strong |
| 50-79 | Fair |
| 20-49 | Caution |
| 0-19 | High Risk |
| Assumption | Value | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Land / Building Split | 20% / 80% | Standard IRS guidance for residential rental depreciation. Land is not depreciable. |
| Rehab Depreciation | 100% | Rehab costs are building improvements and are 100% depreciable over the depreciation period. |
| Property Tax Inflation | 2% per year | National average for annual reassessment increases. |
| Insurance Inflation | 3% per year | Reflects rising premiums nationally, especially in disaster-prone regions. |
| HOA Inflation | 3% per year | HOA dues typically rise faster than general inflation. |
| Default Selling Costs | 6% | Agent commissions (5-6%) plus seller closing costs. Applied to IRR terminal value and flip analysis. |
| BRRRR Refinance Term | 30 years fixed | Industry-standard refinance term for long-term hold investors. |
| Year 1 Rent | No growth | First-year rent is locked at the input value; growth begins in year 2. |
| All-Cash DSCR | 99.9 | With no debt service, DSCR is effectively infinite. Capped for display. |
| IRR Bounds | -100% to +500% | Results outside this range are considered unreliable and are not displayed. |
What is User-Configurable vs. Fixed
The annual expense growth rates, the 80/20 land-building split, and the 30-year BRRRR term are fixed model assumptions. Your STARTING property tax, insurance, and vacancy rates are estimated city-by-city from your property's location — not flat national defaults (fallbacks: approximately 1.1% property tax, 0.45% insurance, 8% vacancy). Every other variable — management fees, CapEx, tax bracket, depreciation years, and all scenario modifiers — is driven by your inputs and the three-scenario engine.
CasaWise pulls live data from authoritative sources — we never use AI-generated numbers for financial rates.
| Data Point | Source | Refresh |
|---|---|---|
| 30-Year Mortgage Rate | FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) | Weekly, cached 6 hours |
| 15-Year Mortgage Rate | FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) | Weekly, cached 6 hours |
| Treasury Rates | FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) | Daily, cached 6 hours |
| Macroeconomic Dashboards | Google Gemini AI + FRED | Cached 6 hours |
| Local Market Intelligence | Perplexity Sonar AI (paid tiers) | Cached 6 hours per location |
| Geocoding | LocationIQ / OpenStreetMap | Real-time lookup |
Cap rate (capitalization rate) is the annual return a property would generate if you bought it in cash. The formula is Net Operating Income ÷ Purchase Price, expressed as a percentage. A property with $24,000 NOI and a $400,000 price has a 6% cap rate.
Take the property's annual gross rent (or gross rent equivalent if you are an owner occupier), subtract a vacancy allowance (typically 5-8%), then subtract all operating expenses except mortgage payments — taxes, insurance, management, maintenance, capital expenditures, utilities you pay, HOA. What remains is Net Operating Income. Divide that by the purchase price (or current market value, if you already own it).
Cash-on-cash return measures the annual pre-tax cash flow against the actual cash you put into a deal — down payment, closing costs, and any rehab. The formula is Annual Pre-Tax Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested.
IRR is the annualized return on every dollar of capital invested in a deal, accounting for the timing of every cash flow from purchase through sale. It's the metric sophisticated investors use to compare opportunities that look nothing alike on paper — a stabilized rental against a value-add rehab, a 5-year hold against a 15-year hold, a syndication against a direct purchase.
NOI is the property's income after operating expenses but before debt service and taxes. It's the foundation under both cap rate and most lender underwriting decisions.
The 1% rule says monthly rent should equal at least 1% of the purchase price — a $200,000 property should rent for $2,000/month. It was a useful screening shortcut in the 2010s. In most markets today, it's broken.
DSCR is the lender's primary measure of whether a property's income can support its loan payments. The formula is NOI ÷ Annual Debt Service. A DSCR of 1.20 — the level lenders typically require — means the property generates $1.20 of NOI for every $1 of loan payment.
BRRRR stands for Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat — a strategy for recycling capital across multiple deals. The investor purchases a distressed property below market, renovates it to increase value, rents it for cash flow, then refinances against the new appraised value to pull most of their original capital back out for the next deal.
ARV is the projected market value of a property after planned renovations are complete. It's the number that makes BRRRR and house-flipping math work — or fall apart.
GRM is a quick screening metric: Purchase Price ÷ Annual Gross Rent. A property priced at $300,000 with $30,000 in annual rent has a GRM of 10. Lower is generally better for cash flow; higher implies the buyer is paying more for appreciation than for income.